For someone that makes their living forecasting and predicting trends, Jim Cramer should be embarrassed. His comment on the irrelevance of primary market liquidity is as insightful as his push to buy Bear Stearns at $60 a mere 7 weeks before it collapsed.
“Cramer: What’s going to happen to the mortgage lenders when no one will provide warehouse lines? Two more banks announced they would no longer provide warehouse lines totaling $5.4 billion and about 27% of all lines available in the market. Non-bank lenders will be done, third party originators will be done, and competition in the market will be done.
Rates will be so high that it will kill the housing market and nationalization of mortgage lending will be a reality. What are your thoughts on this issue? –Bill
Cramer says: “I think you’re completely and utterly wrong, Bill. I think that there are plenty of banks in this country. The banks will compete. I don’t like the warehouse lines. They tended to be given [in] a lot of cases to companies that didn’t do their due diligence. Now those companies need to fall by the wayside. I think banks that do mortgages and keep mortgages rather than sending them off into the nether land are the banks I want to go with. Could competition be hurt? You know what, look [at] what we just went through because competition was freewheeling – the worst housing situation in the world that gave us the second worst bear market ever.”
It underscores my argument that the intricacy of policy, regulation and legislation should be left to the professionals not spectators, ideologues and/or amateurs. On many levels, it is like asking for a neurosurgical consult from your dental hygienist…
This comment highlights the real chasm growing between the small “b” business arm of the financial services community and Wall Street profiteering. For many years, Wall Street prognosticators were deified as having omniscient insight into the true American dream – getting rich. In a bear market, there was no real downside…
Here watch me do it: Pre-requisite: Make grotesque amounts of money siphoning off wealth from some “innovative” scheme. Message: Economic Boom: Everything is appreciating… I’ve never seen so much money to be made… buy, buy, buy (read: give me as much money as you can so I can invest it and take a slice on every transaction.) Economic Collapse: no one could have seen this coming, it’s not my fault, I don’t have a crystal ball, I did the best I could…. Buy, buy, buy. (read: give me as much money as you can so I can invest it and take a slice on every transaction.) See… where’s my show CNBC?!?
Having watched the John Stewart slugfest with Cramer, Stewart was right… it isn’t a game or entertainment. Jim Cramer has consistently been just wrong – reminding me of that monkey and dartboard analogy from Econ 201s required reading A Random Walk Down Wall Street.
The reality is that the only way to get wealthy (long term) is through hard work. Watching those outtakes on Cramer, it is obvious that Wall Street has bought into the infomercial, get rich with no participation, collect checks, follow the green and red boxes in this easy software program notion of entrepreneurship. It is fascinating because unlike EVERY small “b” businesses… they don’t actually pay if they are wrong – they get bigger bonuses. With no down side, no personal responsibility and obscene profits on both the buy and the sell… are we surprised that Wall Street doesn’t get it?
Cramer is just towing the company line… Wall Street really believes that unless you have a “b” (for billion) on our balance sheet, you are expendable. Small businesses are merely quaint spectators and wannabes. Well, don’t break your collective arms patting yourself on the back for this mess we are in, but I can tell you – small business is where we will find our rescue.
There is no TARP knight to the rescue… just the same hard work we “expendable” small business types put in before, made harder by risks taken by people we will never meet.